Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 318.231637 360.805976 408.279777 465.382148 532.518460 609.330039 704.411320
2025-07-06 244.403372 296.945810 360.760705 444.861005 554.107747 693.074477 886.247845
2025-07-13 218.884317 278.574478 355.409057 463.350411 614.007332 821.359311 1136.555578
2025-07-20 201.754408 266.641308 354.247617 484.096249 676.840828 961.145557 1429.790533
2025-07-27 183.254282 249.602990 342.696743 486.879316 712.207486 1064.834748 1688.923162
2025-08-03 164.310971 229.310403 323.407174 474.519313 721.077878 1126.897841 1891.092250
2025-08-10 149.495269 213.195691 308.028277 465.402309 732.545215 1193.449360 2114.239849
2025-08-17 142.300333 207.553696 307.584909 479.456787 783.875511 1336.793440 2516.701687
2025-08-24 132.664457 197.119181 298.351963 477.426164 806.247856 1430.549170 2842.445934
2025-08-31 123.135338 185.942814 286.708333 469.608082 816.471555 1502.055103 3138.137729
2025-09-07 116.530187 178.867368 281.060537 471.512492 844.975366 1614.967300 3561.215863
2025-09-14 108.502233 168.777226 269.350693 460.911364 847.162432 1672.424506 3864.090122
2025-09-21 102.455549 161.715075 262.535742 459.265032 868.517878 1779.020735 4339.195317
2025-09-28 94.136935 150.191681 246.941202 439.156149 848.512406 1787.696274 4547.834565
2025-10-05 92.174180 149.504134 250.668464 457.345716 913.982593 2014.055399 5486.711679
2025-10-12 90.591032 149.328315 255.258692 477.764082 987.894261 2279.741275 6675.254740
2025-10-19 86.859620 144.983889 251.604585 480.502698 1020.950016 2445.825556 7603.590513
2025-10-26 81.665475 137.599793 241.521336 468.339109 1016.022854 2505.570538 8166.393193
2025-11-02 77.263673 131.405346 233.286109 459.366266 1017.794462 2585.581523 8852.834879
2025-11-09 75.677008 130.387433 235.182045 473.198257 1080.290853 2864.093319 10542.730699
2025-11-16 72.548023 126.215547 230.391727 471.199867 1100.649734 3016.419034 11760.214697
2025-11-23 69.083688 121.183755 223.472259 463.505611 1104.343153 3115.621471 12785.571533
2025-11-30 66.768712 118.255962 220.694148 465.379899 1135.237314 3316.505913 14492.615614